Bundesliga: Beware the Bayern Backlash!

Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05

This is not the time to be rocking up at the Allianz Arena to take on FC Bayern, but it’s the turn of FSV Mainz this weekend…and they’d better be prepared.

Of course, Sandro Schwarz is a good coach and has talented players, but the Mainz boss knows that not only are his opponents in formidable Bundesliga form, they are also pretty angry! Last night, Niko Kovac’s team crashed out of the Champions League to Liverpool, and that after they had held the Premier League outfit to a draw on Merseyside.

I expect the Bavarians to show no mercy when Mainz come to town. The visitors aren’t in good form at the moment, so I fully expect the reigning champions to make it a sixth Bundesliga win on the trot on Sunday.

Talking Points

Can anyone stop the Bayern Bandwagon?

With nine games to go, it’s beginning to look a little ominous for those (millions) hoping that BVB can wrestle the title off the champions. The Bundesliga 2019 betting odds have swung firmly in favour of FC Bayern over the past few weeks. Our latest odds have the Bavarians down to 1.28 with long-time leaders BVB out at 3.40.

Bayern’s chances of retaining the title were hanging by a thread not long ago, but a run of 12 wins in 13 games, while Dortmund stuttered, has shifted the momentum firmly in Kovac’s team’s direction. They have closed the nine-point gap but the teams are still level on points, and the Bayern coach is determined to take a grip on top spot, saying: “We are now where we wanted to be. We want to stay there, too.”

Bayern hammered Wolfsburg last week by six goals to nil, and Robert Lewandowski scored twice, becoming the German league’s all-time top scoring foreign player in the process. He’s top of the Bundesliga scoring charts again and looks likely to retain his crown; one ray of hope for the visitors is that he has only scored twice in the last six games against Mainz.

Prior to thrashing Wolfsburg, Bayern beat Champions League-chasing Borussia Monchengladbach, 1-5, on their own patch, so what price is Kovac’s team smashing Mainz for seven?!

Can Robert Lewandowski lead Bayern Munich to stay on top of Bundesliga table?

Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring against Wolfsburg

It’s all about winning a seventh consecutive title now, and Bayern fans will be checking the Bundesliga 2019 updates on Saturday evening to see if tenth-placed Hertha Berlin can do a favour when they host Borussia Dortmund.

Is this a free hit for Mainz?

No coach will ever admit it, but if ever there was a game where not much is expected then this is surely it.

Schwarz has a young team with an average age of just over 24. They are 11 points clear of the drop and shouldn’t get dragged into a relegation fight. But if they leave the Allianz Arena empty-handed, then that will be six defeats in seven and their momentum will all but have stopped. Realistically, they only need another three or four points to survive so I believe this game is a free hit.

Die Nullfunfer’s defence will be severely tested, and captain Stefan Bell, alongside 23-year-old Moussa Niakhate, has his work cut out. The skipper is an uncompromising figure, picking up seven yellow cards so far this season.

FSV Mainz can be dangerous on the break: in the Bundesliga statistics, they sit fifth in the list of sprints and fourth in the number of crosses from open play. Wing-back

Daniel Brosinski has produced five assists, and Jean-Phillipe Mateta has been the chief beneficiary with seven goals. The 21-year-old striker was on the bench in the 0-1 defeat to Monchengladbach last week and will hope for a start against the league’s best on Sunday.

Bayern keeper Manuel Neuer has kept just two clean sheets in the last eight games, so I won’t rule out an away goal.


Mainz have hovered around mid-table since promotion in 2009 and qualified for the Europa League in 2016, but another season in the top flight isn’t a bad return.

In the 30 games played since 2005, FC Bayern have won 22 while Mainz won five and there have been just three draws. The champions have won five of the last six meetings, the other being a 2-2 draw in Munich back in 2017.

Recent form isn’t good for Mainz with three consecutive away losses while Bayern have won eight from 12 at home.

Betting Tip

Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 FC Bayern First Half -1.00 @ 1.89
March 18 01:00 (GMT+8)

At us odds of 1.13 a home win, 7.20 for a draw and 21.00 for a Mainz win, I can’t see anything other than a convincing Bayern victory. I think they will be determined to get Wednesday’s loss to Liverpool out of the way, and so there should be value in backing a fast start.

?? = €20 (Highly confident) ?? = €10 (CONFIDENT) ?? = €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.




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The Bundesliga is Heating Up from Top to Bottom!

Despite Bayern Munich’s domination, the Bundesliga still have plenty of football games and matchups that are expected to heat up online betting.

At the top five, Bayer, Schalke, Leipzig and Gladbach are tied at 31 points and will all eye to get the upper hand against each other this Week 20. Meanwhile, at the bottom, FC Koln, Hamburg and Werder Bremen are clinging on their slim hopes of survival and will continue to fight as they look to pull themselves closer to safety and surprise their football betting detractors.


Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim

In what could be the matchup of the week, Bayern host a team that they haven’t beaten in their past three meetings. However, the difference for the Bavarians this time is that they are a new team under Jupp Heynckes, who has led them to an 11-1 league record since taking over.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Monchengladbach

Frankfurt are hoping to crack into the top five, and they have a good shot at doing so when they play Dieter Hecking’s struggling Gladbach. It should give the Eagles an extra boost that Die Fohlen haven’t won against them since 2016.

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg

Freiburg have always had a hard time stopping Dortmund because of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. But with the wantaway Gabon international doubtful to play again, the visitors could well be able to win. Freiburg’s poor away form is something Christian Streich has to consider (and solve) though.

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

While both teams need the win here, the odds of Hamburg reigning supreme are low. Leipzig are in contention for a runners-up place for a reason; and with ten-goal man Timo Werner ready to help the Bulls bounce back from last week’s defeat, it’s hard to see Hamburg putting up a real challenge…especially on the road.

FC Koln vs Augsburg

There’s an aura of optimism surrounding Cologne as they won three straight games. Two of those are against fellow strugglers, but the fact that they beat Gladbach a fortnight ago should give them the confidence that they can take on any team—even Augsburg who pummeled them with three unanswered goals last September. Koln Draw No Bet @ 2.03 seems the best bet to make.

VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke 04

Schalke are still without a win this 2018, though that will likely change when they visit the slumping Stuttgart. Offence continues to be the issue for the home team as they failed to score in four of their last six outings. In contrast, the Royal Blues have scored 10 in the same stretch.


Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC

The previous meeting between the River Islanders and the Berliners ended in a draw and all signs point that it won’t be different this time. Both clubs are in a winless skid, losing one and drawing the other in their last two games each.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Who would have thought that Bayer will sit second after their struggles at the start of the season? Die Werkself have lost just once since October—against Bayern Munich—so it’s unlikely they will fall again to the O-Fives who are conceding goals at a surprisingly higher rate than they did earlier in the campaign. Go for Bayer -1.50 @ 2.20.


Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg

Hannover are in a good run lately and look poised to contend in the top-five.  The hosts, however, need Niclas Fullkrug to maintain his scoring form if they are to pull out a win against the Wolves that have already drawn 11 games, the most in the Bundesliga so far this season.

I expect this one to end up tight, but I don’t doubt Hannover’s attacking quality. With that said, choosing Hannover -0.50 @ 2.33 is a reasonable move.

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Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

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It’s a Wonderful Revival for the BVB!

Mainz 05 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund’s football betting crowd felt the lump on their throats disappear after the BVB finally broke their frustrating losing streak over six football games.

Their 0-2 victory over Mainz may do little on their Bundesliga title betting odds, but this win should bring a ton of confidence to a side that has been underwhelming in the league and in football betting forums. Peter Stoger should bring forth a much-needed renaissance for the club. Shinji Kagawa and Sokratis scored during the BVB’s comeback game.

Dortmund aren’t the only ones who have had a great midweek. Wolfsburg defied predictions and got a point off RB Leipzig. The Red Bulls unleashed the hurt on the hosts in the second half, but good defence by Wolfsburg and missed opportunities cost them the two points.

Hertha Berlin also saw their winless run come to a halt after a dominant 3-1 victory over Hannover.  Salomon Kalou is the toast of capital after scoring a brace in the first half. Ihlas Bebou got one back in the second half, but Jordan Torunarigha sealed another loss for the visitors.

Schalke finally found their winning run as they sealed a 3-2 win against Augsburg. The Fuggerstadter put on a superb run in the second half, with Caiuby and Michael Gregoritsch evening the score. Fortunately for Die Knappen, Daniel Caligiuri’s spot-kick prevented another draw from happening.

There are still a lot of games to go through before Dortmund can even hope to compete with Bayern Munich (they hitchlessly won 1-0 over Koln), but this midweek is a good foundation to build upon.

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